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Predict Our Results: 2020-2021


Cornish Steve

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The rules are the same as last season...

Each week, you'll predict just two things: the final score and the scorer of first Everton’s first goal. Please use the same format each week:

Home-team x-x Away-team
Goal-scorer

For example, you might predict,

Tottenham 0-2 Everton
Allan

Here's how points will be awarded:

a. 1 point for the correct outcome (win, lose, or draw)
b. 1 point for the correct goal difference
c. 1 point for the correct number of goals scored by Everton
d. 1 point for the correct number of goals scored by the opposition
e. 1 point for your prediction being better than the average prediction
f. 2 points for predicting the first Everton goal-scorer
g. 1 point if your predicted goal-scorer scores other than the first goal
h. 3 bonus points if you correctly predict the final score and the first goal-scorer

Here's the fine print on these rules:

  • You receive 2 points if your goalscorer gets the first goal and 1 point if he gets one of the other goals. You do not get 3 points if he scores both.
  • You can choose "own goal" as your goalscorer, in which case it doesn't matter who from the opposing team scores that own goal.
  • You can choose 'none' as your goalscorer. If Everton score no goals, you'll receive two points.
  • You may predict Everton to score no goals but still enter a first goalscorer.
  • Similarly, you may predict Everton to score one or more goals but still enter 'none' as your goalscorer.
  • For the technically minded, the definition of "better than the average prediction" is quite simple: (ABS[yourEvertonscore - actualEvertonscore] + ABS[youropponentscore - actualopponentscore]) < (ABS[averageEvertonscore - actualEvertonscore] + ABS[averageopponentscore - actualopponentscore])
  • To be listed in the points-per-prediction totals, you must have predicted the score in at least one-third of the games.
  • Predictions are for Premier League games only, not for other league or cup competitions.

Here are some examples. Let's say Everton are playing away to Spurs. The final result is 0-2, with Allan scoring first and Richarlison scoring second.

  • If you predicted 0-1 (Allan), you score a+d+f = 4 points (and maybe a point for being better than average)
  • If you predicted 1-2 (Richarlison), you score a+c+g = 3 points (and maybe a point for being better than average)
  • If you predicted 1-3 (Keane), you score a+b = 2 points (and maybe a point for being better than average)
  • If you predicted 0-2 (Richarlison), you score a+b+c+d+e+g = 6 points
  • If you predicted 0-2 (Allan), you score a+b+c+d+e+f+h = 10 points

If you fail to make a prediction one week, one point will be deducted from your total score. Note: if your score drops to -3, you'll be removed from the game. (Each season, some people start playing the game and then disappear; this rule is meant to stop this from happening - and to make my life easier when it does.)

Note: all predictions must be posted here prior to kickoff: no exceptions. If you want to change your prediction, please do so in a new post; don't edit the first one. The change must be made prior to kickoff. If the game starts at 3:00pm, then you must post your prediction by no later than 2:59pm. If you change your prediction after kickoff, your prediction that week will be null and void and one point will be deducted.

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