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RuffRob

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Everything posted by RuffRob

  1. I think in normal circumstances Dyche might be going through a run of games where questions might start to be rasied about the team and how it's progressing results wise and playing wise under his management. However, we are so far removed from normal circumstances as a club could be. Dyche is working under the most unusual circumstances we could really imagine at a football club. The points you have won being taken off you based on things that went on before your arrival and then with the spectre of even more points being taken away from you hanging over you. You add to this the madness of how the ownership and board situation is at this club, the long standing Chairman passing away. All these signficant things happening off the pitch over 2/3's of a season is quite astounding really. All this has to negatively affect the players and football management side of the club. The biggest thing that is really going against Dyche and the wider team at the moment seems to be a bit of luck - Performance wise easily half of our defeats/draws could have quite easily have turned out as wins on a different day. I don't beleive he as lost the players or dressing room at all, in fact they all seem to be working together to try and change the results. I imagine he would have loved to have been in the position 10 games ago to try and take on games a little more going in to them as a mid table team. However, he has had the tractor beam of the points deduction that is keeping us (and will do now for the rest of the season) pulled toward the bottom three - that in itself brings a nervouseness to the players and fans alike. Everton are at what I feel is a very delecate tipping point at the moment - Until the points deductions and ownership issues are sorted out, the last thing we should do is be trying to change manager again. Especailly as Dyches main downfall to me has been that he's been very unlucky this season - both on and off the pitch. If this had been a 'normal' season, just about football - I could quite easily see this team having a two or three more wins under their belt and now being safe on between 35-40 points. I would actually like to see Dyche manage in to next season, with hopefully points deduction behind us and a new owner and board in place - to me he has and is showing enough to suggest he deserves a normal season.
  2. Neither Mc Neil or Harrison haven't been particiualy consistent this season. They provide a solid enough base, but have generally not offered a signifcant amounts offensivley - considering that they are our offesive outlets. How I would love to be watching the McNeil we watched this time last year. we know McNeil does have it in his locker. The problem is we don't have a great choice beyond the pair of them at the moment, either to be putting there places in the team under pressure or to be offering a great deal off the bench. As a player with us on loan Harrison is doing a OK job, but as a player we should go and spend £20M on then, I don't think so in what I think is going to be a very subdued transfer market this summer. I really think it will be a buyers this summer. I think the likes of Man U, Chelsea, Villa, Newcastle will be trying to shift players and big earners, but equally not spending massivley to replace them. Fuck knows what Everton's plans will be, will we be a Premiership or Championship team and will we have a new owner or not. Probably two of the biggest questions you could have before making any sort of concrete transfer plans.
  3. We are a considerably better team under Dyche, than we have been the past couple of years. Our performances are much more competative and consistently so. 1t has simply been down to poor finishing at the final moment. the irony is we have all be so hoping for DCL to get fit for best part of 2 season, and when he does he just can't score. Dyche has given him massive support on starting him. Even thoigh DCL a better player I think Beto now needs a run of games.
  4. I think your right - fans as well as players will be glad this appeal is now off our backs - we have to see it as a positive result and go in to the Saturdays game with spring is everybodies set, Goodison bouncing and players reacting to that. Lets see that 4 points back being reinforced with another three points on Saturday. Then is would feel like a truly good week.
  5. Well he was/is a free for the first 20 games, then £10m once 20 games player. however, it said the deal could potentially be £40m with other add on, I am guessing one could very well be contract renewal or extension. I don't imagine we would simply get away with running the contract out and then re sign him.
  6. come on, we know what will happen. Everton (becasue of the Contract we have) will be the only club that can't sign Dele on a free in the summer (will cost us £10M or more as for us it will be a renewal) even though we have paid his wages and hopefully looked after him this past season. He will sign for somebody else and he will have put his demons behind him, and will be fit for the opening game of the season in August and will get back to somewhere near his old form. Will most likely will sign for a club we are in a relegation battle with (if we are in Prem next year). This is how I feel thing just go for Everton at this moment in time. If there is any luck going around it' only the bad luck we seem to get.
  7. I think it really is a case we don't have a clue of what sort of new owner we are going to get with 777. With 'they could be worse than Moshiri could they' currently being the best (on paper) of what they really have going for them. That is quite a low bar of expectation. based on estimated purchase cost and liability of compleating the stadium, it must be pushing a £1Billion investment. You can only hope that there are some fairly shrewd business people involved who have a reasonably well thought out plan. A will settle for a plan and getting on to an even keel at the moment - fucking sad the state we are in.
  8. I think the only sale that would count in 22/23 financial period is Gordon and possibly Moise Kean, but purchases of Onana, McNeil, Garner, Maupay and Gueye all happened in 22/23. It's not really a statement of getting on top of our finances, and they where all purchased transfer window immediately post Usmanov and the sponerships lost.
  9. by my reading of the figure given in the report and a few sums. 19/20 - £58m loss 20/21 - £53m loss 21/22 - £13.5m loss (based on 3year total £124.5m over spend documented) So simlpy standing alone (without any reduction for already being charged) the 3 year on this second charge would need to be - 20/21 - £53m 21/22 - £13.5m 22/23 - so for a charge to be brought it would have to be at least £105m - £53m - 15.5m = so lossses greater than £38.5m must have already been submitted for 22/23 accounting year. Can't see how we would be charged otherwise. That would mean our stated loses must be over a single year £35M in anycase. Going from -£13.5m loss (21/22) to more than £38.5m loses (22/23) also means the downward trend discussed in the appeal has evaporated. So thats not great either.
  10. its fucking mad we could finsih the season with potential 5 different point totals 1. - what we win fair and square on the pitch 2. * -10 pts 3. ** - 6pts 4. *** - 6pts and minus from second charge 5. **** - 6pts and minus points deducted upon appealed to second charge. And in between this, the table will also change based on Forests charge
  11. I would be careful how far we could push with that one, otherwise get slapped with some other financial irregulatiry. How sponsership money comes in etc is one they look at. We know that Usmanov has been involded with appointments at the club etc. As much as we think they are,PL lawyers are not stupid.
  12. Reallity is that Usmanov was really the owner elect for the club. Mascarading and a none share holder he had the abitlity to keep us hovering just below the £105M PSR with £10M- £30M sponsership here and there. Before the Ukraine war we had the ability to sail close to the PSR limit because Usmanov was able to set up a commercial deal to simply cover any shortfall. In mid March 2022, both our current and future business model was ripped from under the club, when Russians where booted out of the country. Over night Everton football club basically had their pants pulled down and became fully exposed. Moshiri/Usmanov ownership was set to try and get around PSR to a degree. Pre PSR, Usmanov could and would have just bought Everton and spend just like Chelsea or Man City did with no worry about it. But Everton can't say to the commision or PL, our 'slight of hand' pretend non owner financing model of the club has been taken away from us and we are going to be a bit fucked PSR wise for two or three years!! Its all been a financial fire fight since March 2022. So fuck knows what our 22/23 books look like a full year post Usmanov. One shining light is that Usmanov has been terrible and would have contiued to have been a piss poor owner. So as much as its all fucking us in the short term - It may be better for us long term.
  13. I thing the argument put forward regarding Russian sactions was that Moshiri had a gentleman's agreement about getting some more money from USM for naming rights while the stadium was under construction. PL and commission stated that there is no documentation of this, so not having any of it. In the appeal document just issued, this was fairly specific and did not cover our general sponsorship deals with USM. Sanction in March 22, and losing a major 'suger daddy' sponser going forward will have majorly hit us July 22 onwards. We still has USM on board for most of 21/22. only lost them for April, May and June in that accounting year. What else would have caused us to lose so much more money in 22/23 if we are actually spending less on transfers and wages?
  14. reading through the finding of he commissio and looking at this charge it looks like financially year 1 £55m loss year 2 £53 loss and year 3 (£124.5 - £55m -£53m) so must be -£16..5m. loss. now if we look at this with regard to the up coming charges. year 2 - £53m, year 3 -£16.5m so year 4 must be (£105m - 53 -16.5) giving-£35m. now we all know that we don't have net player spending in year 4 or increase in wages, in fact it must be the opposite. I think we should be in a much better position for arguing any losses in year 4, because this is the year that the Ukrainian war broke out and the Russian sactions actually kicked in and overnight we lost our major sponsorship. its not realistic to replace this kind of major sponsorship in a matter of months.
  15. I think 6 points is still a fairly harsh punishment overall. Saving grace is that we got the penalty this year and not last season. So thank fuck the club didn't allow the PL to fast tracked this charge last season. Otherwise we would have been playing championship football. We have a dozon games to go, and another charge against us to come. Everton will have a very good idea now of what the new charge looks like and how its calculated, they will know the details the accounts submitted, and they also know what the penalty points wise will be. For arguments sake lets say ther club could be confident it could be another 6 points. Club has to play out the remainer of this season on the assumption of another 6 point deduction (or whatever Everton calculate the deduction will be) is coming. We need to play to be 6 points above what 18th place team is going to be. Based on todays announcment Dyche should have a very good idea of what this goal should be.
  16. Hindsight great when you see him doing well for Luton, but a signifcantly different expectation on him if he came back here. He would have divide fans massivley on day 1, we got plenty on our plate, without the noise (can't beleive I am using this!!) of what would be a contraversial signing to a big proportion of fan. We do appear to have missed out, but I can very muchj understand why the club avoid him as wasn't much appitite for the majority of fans based on both what he apparantly did to the club when he left and what is footballing showing had been over the past couple of years with both Villa then Nice. If he didn't already have Everton baggage, I am sure we would have been tempted to bring him in on a free, especially if he is only getting £30k a week on a 12 month contract. Credit to Luton for getting what is turning in to a great deal for them.
  17. Barklay has gone to Luton Town with absolutely no pressure on him, and as maybe the big fish in a smaller pond he's flurished - your would imagine their fan love him. Maybe a good fit for both. I am not convinced we have missed out on him as a player - as would be very much different circumstances for him at Everton. He would have been a player who would have split fans, there is enough of a pantomine going on at this club at the moment. He didn't do that great with villa, so think he may need a 'Luton' to bring the best of him out.
  18. the lads value is going up game by game. first to us as a quality and dependable player and then secondly if any club want to try and steel him away, then the asking fee price and the number of clubs intrested increases by the week.
  19. I was hoping to come away today with a positives. at 90min and 0-1 upgainst 10men you expect to come away with the 3points - so one the back of Palace at home, its another two point dropped. Overall it not a bad results, but In the end, just feeling gutted.
  20. emm, not a shot yet, never mind one on target. Could we possible do what teams did to us at Goodison early in the season - nick a fully undeserved win!! Its not like don't deserve one. Not with our luck.
  21. Onanna will be disappointed, he does and can make a difference off the bench - lets face it is pretty slim picking for a player to make much impact otherwise. COYB.
  22. let's hope McNeil discovers close to the form he attained lat Brighton ast year. Brighton are good at their place, and I am sure they will not fall into the same trap as they did last time we visited. I feel it could be a tough afternoon on the south coast. I would settle for something like a 2-2 draw with a DCL brace. as long as we come away with a couple of positives, to take us in to the next few games.
  23. thats my point, a flat market will not help us if we HAVE to sell this summer. I don't see massive fees paid at all, as there will be plenty of selling clubs and not so many buying clubs (at least not at the premium prices we have seen the past few years). I can see Chelsea as a club this might effect massivley. I feel clubs might only get 60 to 70p on the £1 this summer. I don't actually mean us getting any bargains - as see us having fuck all money to spend this summer. I can see the likes of Spurs doing well this window. Lets hope our players don't rock the boat to much and try to push to get a transfer this summer.
  24. I agree. He is still our best option as a starting striker given his attributes discussed about. I think he will benefit massivley now Doucs is back. Last night you could see Doucs was short of match fitness - so hopefully if DCL and Doucs can stay fit than that will hold us in good stead for the rest of the season. I was gutted when the goal was give to Harrison a couple of weeks ago - I though he had finally ended his drought. I was desperate for a DCL goal and a win against Palace - that would have made a massive difference to the general feel around the place going in the final third of the season. On a positive note, before the Palace game the bookies had us at 3/1 for relegation and today we are 4/1, so in that way it was maybe a slightly better week for us than our nearest rivals.
  25. A lot will depend on the state of the transfer market. January was as flat as a witches tit. We just have to hope we don't HAVE to sell this summer. I don't see inflated fees being paid left right and center this summer. Massive point sanctions will currently be putting fear in to clubs at the moment. This might be a good window for getting some bargains, as clubs having to offload players to get there booking in order, but other clubs not wanting to stretch their finances.
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