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Predict our result - 2014/2015 season


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The season kicks off next weekend, so let's get the prediction game going! Hopefully, I've learned a little from doing this last season and through the World Cup, and I've listened to your feedback on a couple of potential new rules. Here's what I suggest this time around.

 

Each week, you need to predict just two things: the final score and the first Everton goalscorer. Please use the same format each week:

 

Home-team x-x Away team

Goal-scorer

 

For example, you might predict

 

Leicester 1-1 Everton

Lukaku

 

Here's how points will be awarded:

 

a) 1 point for the correct outcome (win, lose, or draw)

B) 1 point for the correct goal difference

c) 1 point for the correct number of goals scored by Everton

d) 1 point for the correct number of goals scored by the opposition

e) 1 point for your prediction being better than the average prediction

f) 2 points for predicting the first Everton goal-scorer

g) 1 point if your predicted goal-scorer scores other than the first goal

h) 3 bonus points if you get everything right

 

Here are some clarifications on these rules:

 

- You receive 2 points if your goalscorer gets the first goal and 1 point if he gets one of the other goals. You do not get 3 points if he scores both.

- If Everton fail to score, no one gets any points for predicted goalscorer and no bonus points are awarded.

- You can choose "own goal" as your goalscorer, in which case it doesn't matter who from the opposing team scores that own goal.

- For the technically minded, the definition of "better than the average prediction" is quite simple: (ABS[yourEvertonscore - actualEvertonscore] + ABS[youropponentscore - actualopponentscore]) < (ABS[averageEvertonscore - actualEvertonscore] + ABS[averageopponentscore - actualopponentscore])

 

Here are some examples. Let's say it's Everton playing at home to QPR. The final result is 2-0, with Lukaku scoring first and Naismith scoring second.

 

If you predicted 1-0 (Lukaku), you score a+d+f = 4 points (and maybe a point for being better than average)

If you predicted 2-1 (Naismith), you score a+c+g = 3 points (and maybe a point for being better than average)

If you predicted 3-1 (Barkley), you score a+b = 2 points (and maybe a point for being better than average)

If you predicted 2-0 (Naismith), you score a+b+c+d+e+g = 6 points

If you predicted 2-0 (Lukaku), you score a+b+c+d+e+f+h = 10 points

 

Note: all predictions must be posted here before kickoff: no exceptions.

 

Hopefully this is a clear description of how the prediction game will work, but please feel free to ask any questions. Now let's get started with predictions for the opening game against Leicester. :)

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