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Predict Our Results 2019/2020


markjazzbassist

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I’m not sure if @Cornish Steve is going to do this again this year (pretty please!!!), but I thought I would start the thread just in case.

 

for newcomers you predict the outcome of the match and first Everton goal scorer.  If you are predicting no goals then put no scorer.  Steve has a points system I’m sure someone can repost or paste in here

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For any newcomers to the game, here are the rules. They've changed slightly over time but are now quite stable. There are no changes from last season.

Each week, you'll predict just two things: the final score and the scorer of first Everton’s first goal. Please use the same format each week:

Home-team x-x Away-team
Goal-scorer

For example, you might predict,

Wolves 1-2 Everton
Tosun

Here's how points will be awarded:

a. 1 point for the correct outcome (win, lose, or draw)
b. 1 point for the correct goal difference
c. 1 point for the correct number of goals scored by Everton
d. 1 point for the correct number of goals scored by the opposition
e. 1 point for your prediction being better than the average prediction
f. 2 points for predicting the first Everton goal-scorer
g. 1 point if your predicted goal-scorer scores other than the first goal
h. 3 bonus points if you correctly predict the final score and the first goal-scorer

Here's the fine print on these rules:

  • You receive 2 points if your goalscorer gets the first goal and 1 point if he gets one of the other goals. You do not get 3 points if he scores both.
  • You can choose "own goal" as your goalscorer, in which case it doesn't matter who from the opposing team scores that own goal.
  • You can choose 'none' as your goalscorer. If Everton score no goals, you'll receive two points.
  • You may predict Everton to score no goals but still enter a first goalscorer.
  • Similarly, you may predict Everton to score one or more goals but still enter 'none' as your goalscorer.
  • For the technically minded, the definition of "better than the average prediction" is quite simple: (ABS[yourEvertonscore - actualEvertonscore] + ABS[youropponentscore - actualopponentscore]) < (ABS[averageEvertonscore - actualEvertonscore] + ABS[averageopponentscore - actualopponentscore])
  • To be listed in the points-per-prediction totals, you must have predicted the score in at least one-third of the games.
  • Predictions are for Premier League games only, not for other league or cup competitions.

Here are some examples. Let's say Everton are playing at home to Spurs. The final result is 2-0, with Tosun scoring first and Davies scoring second.

  • If you predicted 1-0 (Tosun), you score a+d+f = 4 points (and maybe a point for being better than average)
  • If you predicted 2-1 (Davies), you score a+c+g = 3 points (and maybe a point for being better than average)
  • If you predicted 3-1 (Keane), you score a+b = 2 points (and maybe a point for being better than average)
  • If you predicted 2-0 (Davies), you score a+b+c+d+e+g = 6 points
  • If you predicted 2-0 (Tosun), you score a+b+c+d+e+f+h = 10 points

If you fail to make a prediction one week, one point will be deducted from your total score. Note: if your score drops to -3, you'll be removed from the game. (Each season, some people start playing the game and then disappear; this rule is meant to stop this from happening - and to make my life easier when it does.)

Note: all predictions must be posted here prior to kickoff: no exceptions. If you want to change your prediction, please do so in a new post; don't edit the first one. The change must be made prior to kickoff. If the game starts at 3:00pm, then you must post your prediction by no later than 2:59pm. If you change your prediction after kickoff, your prediction that week will be null and void and one point will be deducted.

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On 06/08/2019 at 04:05, Cornish Steve said:

Thanks for posting this, Mark. I've been so busy at work, that I had forgotten to kick this off. Tomorrow, I shall prepare my master spreadsheet for the new season and endeavour to post the first results as soon after this weekend's game as I can.

 

Top man Cornish ☝️

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