java2001e Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 http://www.statto.com/ratings/stattoindex.php?id=1 "The Science Behind Statto Index The Index has been developted and tested over many years, using around 25 years worth of results and approximately 10 years of bookmakers odds to test the accuracy and profitability of the system. Naturally, no system is perfect but we believe we have as close as we can get. For the mathematically minded, the correlation between our forecasts and actual results is approximately 0.92, which means that approximately 92% of the final outcome is explained by the prior forecast." hard to see watford going down, they look to good to me, but it will be interesting to see how they all finish at the end of the season and compare the reality with the predictions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ola Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 http://www.statto.com/ratings/stattoindex.php?id=1 "The Science Behind Statto Index The Index has been developted and tested over many years, using around 25 years worth of results and approximately 10 years of bookmakers odds to test the accuracy and profitability of the system. Naturally, no system is perfect but we believe we have as close as we can get. For the mathematically minded, the correlation between our forecasts and actual results is approximately 0.92, which means that approximately 92% of the final outcome is explained by the prior forecast." hard to see watford going down, they look to good to me, but it will be interesting to see how they all finish at the end of the season and compare the reality with the predictions. 50029[/snapback] think we will finish forth myself Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
java2001e Posted September 14, 2006 Author Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 think we will finish forth myself 50031[/snapback] yes, i think we are definitely in with a chance. arsenal and newcastle arent looking too good. weve already stuffed spurs and liverpoo. i thnk that us and west ham could be this years surprises. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ola Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 yes, i think we are definitely in with a chance. arsenal and newcastle arent looking too good. weve already stuffed spurs and liverpoo. i thnk that us and west ham could be this years surprises. 50035[/snapback] tell you who to watch for java pompey their looking a decent outfit mate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluetrip Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 (edited) tell you who to watch for java pompey their looking a decent outfit mate 50038[/snapback] I know Watford gave us and the Mancs a run for our money but they're still bottom of the league with 1 point. Its only four games in but they do have one of the weakest squads in the Premiership. They are favorites for the drop with most bookies and they dont get it wrong much. I agree with Pompey its amazing what Rednapp can do on a shoe string budget. I think west Ham will struggle this season now teams know what they're about. We've already seen Villa go there looking for and getting a draw which would never have happened last season. My main concern about our league placement at the end of the season is our other 11. If the likes of Johnson, Cahill, Arteta or Howard get injured we are going to struggle. Edited September 14, 2006 by Bluetrip Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeO Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 It's hard to take seriously a predicted table where Chelsea win the league with seventy-five points and Manu come second with seventy-seven! I don't think I'd settle for finishing on equal points with Arsenal at the mo either...they're really struggling to score. Ever the optimist ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 (edited) Mmmm, ive printed that out and will keep a close eye on it. Do they update it after every couple of games, ? because you cant go on just four games. How can they put reds in third place when they are 5 points down on the first 4 games. And the Arse in 4th who are minus 7 points, And if results go right this sunday they could BOTH be out of the contest. man u vs reds...........chelski vs arse. Edited September 14, 2006 by Licker Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ola Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 Mmmm, ive printed that out and will keep a close eye on it.Do they update it after every couple of games, ? because you cant go on just four games. How can they put reds in third place when they are 5 points down on the first 4 games. And the Arse in 4th who are minus 7 points, And if results go right this sunday they could BOTH be out of the contest. man u vs reds...........chelski vs arse. 50050[/snapback] lets hope licker things go are way mate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Romey 1878 Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 A 5th placed finish for us would be excellent when you consider what happened last season. We would be getting the extra money from the UEFA cup which would enable us to buy better players without losing the ones we already have, which in turn could help us to compete with the top 4. Happy days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Romey 1878 Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 Mmmm, ive printed that out and will keep a close eye on it.Do they update it after every couple of games, ? because you cant go on just four games. How can they put reds in third place when they are 5 points down on the first 4 games. And the Arse in 4th who are minus 7 points, And if results go right this sunday they could BOTH be out of the contest. man u vs reds...........chelski vs arse. 50050[/snapback] Licker Manure play Arsenal, and Chelsea play Liverpool this weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efc 4life Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 they are predicting relegation with 42 points?! last season it was 34 points to 17th place. You would think 42 it safe, but ya never know what the season will be like Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mac Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 (edited) What a load of old cack. Statistics can say anything you want them to, 87% of people know that. (thank you Homer Simpson) ATB Mac Edited September 14, 2006 by Mac Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 ""Licker, Manure play Arsenal, and Chelsea play Liverpool this weekend"" ...... Yeah course they do Mark i'm pissed again, that cup of tea was far too strong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 14, 2006 Report Share Posted September 14, 2006 What a load of old cack. Statistics can say anything you want them to, 87% of people know that. (thank you Homer Simpson) ATB Mac 50114[/snapback] I first salute you for your love of simpsons then agree totally with your post Mac. Ian Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
java2001e Posted September 15, 2006 Author Report Share Posted September 15, 2006 tell you who to watch for java pompey their looking a decent outfit mate 50038[/snapback] agreed. and theyve probably done the best transfer deals. sol campbell for nothing! you can't do better than that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StevO Posted September 15, 2006 Report Share Posted September 15, 2006 What a load of old cack. Statistics can say anything you want them to, 87% of people know that. (thank you Homer Simpson) ATB Mac 50114[/snapback] "thats crazy, you can use facts to prove anything!" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Toad Posted September 15, 2006 Report Share Posted September 15, 2006 (edited) I agree with Pompey its amazing what Rednapp can do on a shoe string budget. I think you're forgetting Pompey have sold there souls to the Russian mafia along with Chelski. They are owned by Russian tycoon Alexandre Gaydamak. I remeber watching Pompey v Everton at Fratton Park last season. The Portsmouth fans had loads of Pompski banners out. Evertonski doesn't have the same ring to it! Edited September 15, 2006 by Mr Toad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xavier Posted September 15, 2006 Report Share Posted September 15, 2006 Everski does. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill Posted September 15, 2006 Report Share Posted September 15, 2006 Stevo said........"thats crazy, you can use facts to prove anything!" ............ And thats a fact. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
java2001e Posted September 16, 2006 Author Report Share Posted September 16, 2006 Stevo said........"thats crazy, you can use facts to prove anything!" ............ And thats a fact. 50280[/snapback] no. you can't use facts to prove anything. you can misuse statistics, but in a case like this there would be no point. no-one has anything to gain. the statto index has a 92% accuracy record over the last ten seasons. that doesnt make it perfect but it does make it pretty good and worth noting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StevO Posted September 20, 2006 Report Share Posted September 20, 2006 java, i was using a quote from the simpsons, give me some credit mate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Romey 1878 Posted September 20, 2006 Report Share Posted September 20, 2006 Some people on here just dont get sarcasm do they mate? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocco Posted September 21, 2006 Report Share Posted September 21, 2006 hard to see watford going down, they look to good to me, but it will be interesting to see how they all finish at the end of the season and compare the reality with the predictions. 50029[/snapback] Watford do look quite good but sadly playing good football doesn't guarantee safety if you don't have the quality players. If you play good football you allow others to do the same and chances are the opposition will be better at it! For teams to survive they have to battle it out, unless they are resigned to going down and are planning to use the money to go up again next year (this is a fairly good strategy that Charlton used to good affect) I say Watford, Fulham and Wigan to go down. Keeping faith with the Blades to pull off a dramatic recovery in the second half of the season! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aaron Posted September 21, 2006 Report Share Posted September 21, 2006 What a load of old cack. Statistics can say anything you want them to, 87% of people know that. (thank you Homer Simpson) ATB Mac 50114[/snapback] great post, the simpsons are fuckin great too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
java2001e Posted September 22, 2006 Author Report Share Posted September 22, 2006 Watford do look quite good but sadly playing good football doesn't guarantee safety if you don't have the quality players. If you play good football you allow others to do the same and chances are the opposition will be better at it! For teams to survive they have to battle it out, unless they are resigned to going down and are planning to use the money to go up again next year (this is a fairly good strategy that Charlton used to good affect) I say Watford, Fulham and Wigan to go down. Keeping faith with the Blades to pull off a dramatic recovery in the second half of the season! 51195[/snapback] you may be right. altho watford played well against us they are still not winning anything. i'm a bit surprised. maybe their performance against us was exceptional and now they are settling into their natural game and place. they are fixed at the bottom of the table and altho its early days you dont want to spend too much time down there! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mac Posted September 22, 2006 Report Share Posted September 22, 2006 I've looked at the Optra index and we actually have very few players in the top 10 of any position. Howard is 6th in the keepers list and AJ is 4th in the forwards list. I like to think that we are 4th in the league. ATB Mac Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebluenose Posted September 22, 2006 Report Share Posted September 22, 2006 if we aim for top 4 thatl be fantastic. well even if we get into europe we should do better than last time *cringes*. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mac Posted September 22, 2006 Report Share Posted September 22, 2006 Why shouldn't CL be attainable?, we have a little strength in depth now, the team spirit is high, fans are behind the boys, the boardroom must be happy with the Ginga Ninja. These are glorious days boys, the wheels might come off at any time. F*ck it, let's enjoy ourselves while the sun shines. ATB Mac Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
java2001e Posted September 23, 2006 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2006 I've looked at the Optra index and we actually have very few players in the top 10 of any position. Howard is 6th in the keepers list and AJ is 4th in the forwards list. 51553[/snapback] he's not fourth in the list that matters! TOP SCORERS! Andrew Johnson Everton 5 Bobby Zamora West Ham 5 Didier Drogba Chelsea 4 Nwankwo Kanu Portsmouth 4 Darren Bent Charlton 3 Juan Pablo Angel Aston Villa 2 Joey Barton Man City 2 Jimmy Bullard Fulham 2 Tim Cahill Everton 2 Kevin Doyle Reading 2 Ryan Giggs Man Utd 2 Rob Hulse Sheff Utd 2 Frank Lampard Chelsea 2 Benedict McCarthy Blackburn 2 Benjani Mwaruwari Portsmouth 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zed Posted September 23, 2006 Report Share Posted September 23, 2006 The season we finished 4th was very similar mac We had no players near the top in any of the opta stats sections, it proved then what its proving now We are a team This is embodied even more by Beatties interview, where he said we have a very good team spirit and no bad apples (Craig bellendamy anyone) In sure AJ will be there or there abouts though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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