Sorry Felli, I'm gonna add my tuppence worth aswell.
I'm usually optimistic, but I'm afraid this season's form has somewhat shattered that.
In recent years, to qualify for Europe you need around 60 points. we have played 23 games and have 27 points, that means we have 15 games left and need around 33 points.
Thats pretty much twice the amount of points per game as we've been able to collect so far this season.
Another way, our form has to double.
Another way, we need to win 11 of our last (15) games, (4 loses-0 draws).
Considering our form , and our lack of goals, and our penchant for draws, and letting in sloppy goals, throw in a bit of optimism and "we do better in the second half of the season bs", even 1.5 pts/game would be an achievement. (1.5x15)+27=49.5... =50points.
(Of course, this season is a bit different in that some teams are doing better than expected and others worse...however...)
My prediction, is comfortably sitting in 10th place. And that's me being optimistic.
I love it when we play in Europe, more games, more excitement. Sadly, I think we're gonna have to wait a while before that kind of drama returns to Goodison.