I read somewhere (maybe on the OS) that Arteta was targeting 7 wins form 9 games (make that 6 from 8 now). that's 18 points on 45, finishing 63. Will that be enough for Europe, maybe in past seasons, this year, I'm not so sure. We're in a position now (through no fault but our own) where we need to win pretty much every game until now and the end of the season and rely on other teams (I think mainly Villa and City) to drop points. City have the hardest run in I think with us, Manu, Arseanl, Villa and Spurs to play. Villa have it slightly easier with only us, Chelsea and City of note (though they do have Brum as well where the could also potentially drop points),
Do I think we'll finish in a European place yet?
Well, 18 points from the rest of our games - no, we'll just finish maybe a single point outside the top 7.
If we win all of our next 8 games - yes, and we'll finish just a couple off points off a Champions League place.
I think it's going to be very close for these positions this year, and my prediction for places 4-8 is as follows (numbers are rough estimates):
Spurs (69-71)
Liverpool(67-69)
Villa (66-68)
City (64-67)
Everton (63)