Cornish Steve Posted May 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 Note how the Forum Average won in all categories. The longer the game went on, the more certain it was becoming that the Forum Average would win out. This proves a theory known as the "Wisdom of Crowds." For example, if you see that game at a fair where you must estimate the number of marbles in a jar, glance at all the entries, add them up, find the average, and make that your prediction. Almost always, you will win. Apparently, a few decade ago, the navy was trying to find the location of a wrecked submarine somewhere in the Atlantic. They asked about ten experts to make their predictions. When they looked at the location representing the average of the predicted coordinates, the submarine was found less than a mile away. It's a surprising but predictable phenomenon. So, this is my cunning plan for next year's inter-forum challenge. Let's all make our predictions in a forum that can be viewed by members only. I'll calculate the average prediction. Then we'll adjust our individual predictions so they are closer to the average. If we do that, I feel confident we'll win. Any takers? Of course, my problem is that, next season, everyone will wait until one minute before kickoff to make their predictions - so they can choose the average of everyone else's.!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeO Posted May 24, 2015 Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 Ignoring "TT average" I came fourth in every table; the worst place in the world because you get no medal . So, this is my cunning plan for next year's inter-forum challenge. Let's all make our predictions in a forum that can be viewed by members only. I'll calculate the average prediction. Then we'll adjust our individual predictions so they are closer to the average. If we do that, I feel confident we'll win. Any takers? Sounds like a plan; but will the organisers not get suspicious if we all put in the same prediction (plus the fact Daib is a member so he may well see what we're up to)? Be an interesting experiment though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Romey 1878 Posted May 24, 2015 Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 I just about clung on! How many 10 pointers were there over the season? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paddock Posted May 24, 2015 Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 I'm mid table obscurity. Stupid fucking game anyway!! On a seeious note, thanks Steve, appreciate the time and effort you put into it, it must be time consuming so it's appreciated by I'm sure everyone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cornish Steve Posted May 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 I just about clung on! How many 10 pointers were there over the season? For 10 points, you needed the correct score and the correct first Everton scorer You scored 10 away to Man United Deacs, TonkaRoost, and I all scored 10 at home to West Ham MillwallForever and you scored 10 away to Crystal Palace I scored 10 at home to Burnley. For 8 points, you needed the correct score and predict no Everton scorer Deacs scored 8 away to Chelsea Deacs and TonkaRoost scored 8 away to Arsenal Chalkpie and Rusty scored 8 away to Stoke. I can't upload a file, but I can send you my final spreadsheet with all the weekly results. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cornish Steve Posted May 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 Ignoring "TT average" I came fourth in every table; the worst place in the world because you get no medal . Sounds like a plan; but will the organisers not get suspicious if we all put in the same prediction (plus the fact Daib is a member so he may well see what we're up to)? Be an interesting experiment though. What I'm suggesting is not that we all submit the same answer (the average) but that we adjust our predictions to be closer to the average. That should be enough. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cornish Steve Posted May 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 I'm mid table obscurity. Stupid fucking game anyway!! On a seeious note, thanks Steve, appreciate the time and effort you put into it, it must be time consuming so it's appreciated by I'm sure everyone. Most of it is automated in a spreadsheet. It takes me about 20 minutes to then sort and adjust the formatting. Not a big deal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Btay Posted May 24, 2015 Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 Cheers for sorting all this out over the Steve. A massive effort from you and I'm sure I speak on behalf of everyone who took part that we appreciate it. Cornish Steve and MikeO 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paddock Posted May 24, 2015 Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 Most of it is automated in a spreadsheet. It takes me about 20 minutes to then sort and adjust the formatting. Not a big deal. It's still20 minutes of your time every weeksometimes 40, you don't have to do it so it's still very appreciated. Cornish Steve 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sibdane Posted May 24, 2015 Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 I just about clung on! How many 10 pointers were there over the season? You got lucky this time around! I'm going for the double next season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sibdane Posted May 24, 2015 Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 Also, thanks for doing this all season, Steve. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Romey 1878 Posted May 24, 2015 Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 For 10 points, you needed the correct score and the correct first Everton scorer You scored 10 away to Man United Deacs, TonkaRoost, and I all scored 10 at home to West Ham MillwallForever and you scored 10 away to Crystal Palace I scored 10 at home to Burnley. For 8 points, you needed the correct score and predict no Everton scorer Deacs scored 8 away to Chelsea Deacs and TonkaRoost scored 8 away to Arsenal Chalkpie and Rusty scored 8 away to Stoke. I can't upload a file, but I can send you my final spreadsheet with all the weekly results. Nah no need to send me anything, Steve, I was just curious how many times a 10 pointer had been scored by anyone because it's so difficult. I hadn't realised I'd done it twice, thought it was just the once! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cornish Steve Posted May 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 Nah no need to send me anything, Steve, I was just curious how many times a 10 pointer had been scored by anyone because it's so difficult. I hadn't realised I'd done it twice, thought it was just the once! Ultimately, that's why you won! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elston Gunnn Posted May 25, 2015 Report Share Posted May 25, 2015 I'm mid table obscurity. No, no, you've qualified for Europa League. You're thinking of Everton. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deacs Posted May 25, 2015 Report Share Posted May 25, 2015 Cheers Steve mate, injected some fun into an otherwise crap season. Good job Romey, we'll be gunning for you next year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Romey 1878 Posted May 25, 2015 Report Share Posted May 25, 2015 Cheers Steve mate, injected some fun into an otherwise crap season. Good job Romey, we'll be gunning for you next year With the way I finished I'll need the summer to recharge! My pre-season will need to be top notch . Deacs 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shukes Posted May 25, 2015 Report Share Posted May 25, 2015 Everton 3-0 Opponents Darren Bent Matt 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deacs Posted May 25, 2015 Report Share Posted May 25, 2015 With the way I finished I'll need the summer to recharge! My pre-season will need to be top notch . Once you've planned your pre season maybe you can help Roberto out with ours. Romey 1878 and Matt 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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