Cornish Steve Posted February 22, 2022 Report Posted February 22, 2022 A couple of weeks ago, I laid out what I thought was our best chance of getting to 40 points and therefore, if history is any guide, to safety. At the time, we needed to secure 21 points from the remaining 17 games, and I laid out what I thought to be the most likely course. Maybe I can track our progress over time.Current status: 39 points Brentford (H): 3 points Burnley (A): 3 points Leeds (H): 3 points (actual: 3 points) Newcastle (H): 3 points Palace (H): 3 points Watford (A): 3 points Leicester (H): 1 point Southampton (A): 1 point (actual: 0 points) Wolves (H): 1 point Arsenal (A): 0 points Chelsea (H): 0 points Leicester (A): 0 points Liverpool (A): 0 points Man City (H): 0 points Man United (H): 0 points Spurs (A): 0 points West Ham (A): 0 points dunlopp9987 and AlbanyNYToffee 2 Quote
Popular Post Matt Posted February 22, 2022 Popular Post Report Posted February 22, 2022 My immediate fear and annoyance upon reading the title was "ffs don't you start, I'm only 39 this year!" StevO, Romey 1878, Cornish Steve and 5 others 3 5 Quote
Bailey Posted February 22, 2022 Report Posted February 22, 2022 I dont think it will need anywhere near 40 points to stay up this season. Sibdane, Btay, Romey 1878 and 1 other 4 Quote
Hoof_It_Nev Posted February 22, 2022 Report Posted February 22, 2022 Can't see us picking up any points away from home this season now to be honest! We'll be lucky to get anything against City and we're back to looking over our shoulders again Quote
Cornish Steve Posted February 22, 2022 Author Report Posted February 22, 2022 6 hours ago, Matt said: My immediate fear and annoyance upon reading the title was "ffs don't you start, I'm only 39 this year!" I could rename it "Just about surviving at 39" if you prefer... Matt 1 Quote
Matt Posted February 22, 2022 Report Posted February 22, 2022 32 minutes ago, Cornish Steve said: I could rename it "Just about surviving at 39" if you prefer... Although that's quite accurate too Romey 1878 1 Quote
AlbanyNYToffee Posted February 22, 2022 Report Posted February 22, 2022 Good thread @Cornish Steve. Will be fun (assuming we pick up some points) to follow along in the coming weeks/months. I agree with Hoof every away game has to be considered 0 points for the sake of this exercise. Therefore we need to find 4 more points from our home games Leicester, Wolves, Chelsea, City, Utd. Yikes. Whether it will take the full 40 to survive who knows but the team better play like it will. Quote
dunlopp9987 Posted February 22, 2022 Report Posted February 22, 2022 As a few have mentioned, it is very Everton for us to drop points against the teams we should be taking all 3 from, and then come up with some big home wins against the top teams. Would not be surprised to see that happen again this season Quote
Palfy Posted February 22, 2022 Report Posted February 22, 2022 25 minutes ago, dunlopp9987 said: As a few have mentioned, it is very Everton for us to drop points against the teams we should be taking all 3 from, and then come up with some big home wins against the top teams. Would not be surprised to see that happen again this season I agree I think we have a better chance of beating Leicester and Man U at home than we have of beating Burnley away. I think we will stay up and won’t need the 40 points or 36 to do so and we will be pleasantly surprised at where some of our points come from, and will be equally devastated when we don’t get them from games we believe we should. StevO and dunlopp9987 2 Quote
London Blue Posted February 22, 2022 Report Posted February 22, 2022 We have some really good coaches and manager, if they can get our players to play their way, which I believe they will over time then we will be fine. What we have over other teams is firepower / goal threat, once DCL gets match fit and shakes the rust off we will score more goals. We also have Doucuore and Godfrey to come back and Alli to integrate into the team all of which makes us stronger. Ther key thing imho is to get the players playing the managers style of football and not panicking, easier said than done, but I see and expect improvement incrementally. Matt 1 Quote
Shukes Posted February 22, 2022 Report Posted February 22, 2022 I’m more worried about getting to 50 to be honest. Don’t feel my body can make it supporting Everton!!! Haiku 1 Quote
plaidharper Posted February 22, 2022 Report Posted February 22, 2022 We have to get to 30 points first... Quote
Gwlad Posted February 22, 2022 Report Posted February 22, 2022 I just think, "welcome to the house of fun" not. Quote
MC11 Posted February 23, 2022 Report Posted February 23, 2022 I think 34 keeps you up this season. We are dramatically relying on our home games 4 wins from the remaining games will keep us up IMO Quote
Haiku Posted February 23, 2022 Report Posted February 23, 2022 Burnley just beat Tottenham. Unfortunately it looks we need to put up a real fight to avoid 18th place. Quote
MikeO Posted February 23, 2022 Report Posted February 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, Haiku said: Unfortunately it looks we need to put up a real fight to avoid 18th place. I don't see it as unfortunate at all, no "fortune" involved; we should be staying up because we're good enough to do so. But, if we were to get relegated it'd make zero impact on my support for the club; we've been top flight since before I was born, only Arsenal been there longer. A history most clubs would bite your arm off for. Quote
Gwlad Posted February 23, 2022 Report Posted February 23, 2022 Hard to contemplate relegation but we didn't choose, we were chosen so wouldn't make any difference to my support either. MikeO 1 Quote
Palfy Posted February 23, 2022 Report Posted February 23, 2022 5 minutes ago, MikeO said: we've been top flight since before I was born That seems hard to believe dunlopp9987 1 Quote
MikeO Posted February 23, 2022 Report Posted February 23, 2022 Just now, Palfy said: That seems hard to believe I'm still younger than you old man....just. Quote
Palfy Posted February 23, 2022 Report Posted February 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, MikeO said: I'm still younger than you old man....just. Quote
Cornish Steve Posted February 24, 2022 Author Report Posted February 24, 2022 At this point, I'd say the three teams relegated will be the three promoted teams. Frankly, we can't rely on how other teams perform: Our destiny is in our own hands. MikeO and Romey 1878 2 Quote
Hafnia Posted February 24, 2022 Report Posted February 24, 2022 I think Brentford will really go. They have played 3 more games than us. sky really enjoyed pulling out a mathematical possibility that we could end up in bottom 3 before playing Man City. Pricks. Quote
duncanmckenzieismagic Posted February 24, 2022 Report Posted February 24, 2022 https://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/everton-premier-league-23191189 Quote
Wiggytop Posted February 26, 2022 Report Posted February 26, 2022 Both Norwich and Leeds lost, a good start to the weekends fixtures for us so far. Not that we should be relying on other teams to drop points of course. Quote
dunlopp9987 Posted February 26, 2022 Report Posted February 26, 2022 7 minutes ago, Wiggytop said: Both Norwich and Leeds lost, a good start to the weekends fixtures for us so far. Not that we should be relying on other teams to drop points of course. I agree in theory, but we're past the point of "not wanting to rely on other results." With our tough run of games coming up, we absolutely should be relying on others around us dropping points Quote
Wiggytop Posted February 26, 2022 Report Posted February 26, 2022 35 minutes ago, dunlopp9987 said: I agree in theory, but we're past the point of "not wanting to rely on other results." With our tough run of games coming up, we absolutely will be relying on others around us dropping points FIFY dunlopp9987 1 Quote
Gwlad Posted February 26, 2022 Report Posted February 26, 2022 Equally all those teams will be relying on us dropping points Quote
dunlopp9987 Posted March 1, 2022 Report Posted March 1, 2022 Big one today with Burnely and Leicester. Might find ourselves in the bottom three at the end of the day Quote
Romey 1878 Posted March 1, 2022 Report Posted March 1, 2022 3 hours ago, dunlopp9987 said: Big one today with Burnely and Leicester. Might find ourselves in the bottom three at the end of the day Guess who's involved in the officiating team for this game... Quote
MikeO Posted March 1, 2022 Report Posted March 1, 2022 33 minutes ago, Romey 1878 said: Guess who's involved in the officiating team for this game... How has he not been stood down? That should've been the minimum action taken. Romey 1878 1 Quote
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